blue states turning red 2022dysautonomia scholarships

A process to move could involve discussing it with family members, finding a new place to live, searching for a new job, and learning about features of a new place like schools. Last year, the American Enterprise Institute released a With some complex but telling statistical calculations, he documents a return to historical patterns from the Jim Crow era in which the dominant party (segregationist Democrats then, conservative Republicans now) has skewed the playing field to achieve a level of political dominance in the red nation far beyond its level of popular support. For example, if a state has a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of R+5, that means it is 5 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole. The trend of population migration Democratically dominated blue states to Republican-controlled red states is examined in the documentary Blue to Red: The Shifting of America airing Sunday, at 9 p.m. Eastern on Newsmax. New York had the largest overall decline in its population share, a 0.9% drop. At this early stage, all such choices are speculative. Five of Illinois 15 least vaccinated counties are in Baileys state Senate district, state public health data show. Greg Abbott and dashing Democratic hopes that the state would turn purple. Over the past year, however, many of our Chicago teams have asked to relocate to Miami, New York, and our other offices around the world.. The special examines how COVID-19 and the Draconian policies imposed by Democratic governors resulted in lawlessness, failed education, and botched public health policies. There was a lot of posturing by some Republicans that theyd hit the trifecta in South Texas by taking all three seats, so Democrats have felt maybe a tiny bit of relief at that, Cross said. Bailey, whose home county was represented by a Democrat less than 20 years ago, regards himself as a direct byproduct of downstates hardening red hue, a trend he attributes to a decline in moral integrity and fiscal integrity by those in power, particularly Democrats. Baileys lawsuit is pending in Sangamon County Circuit Court, where it was consolidated with other legal challenges to Pritzkers pandemic orders. Grumbach reached a similar conclusion in a recent paper analyzing trends in small-d democracy across the states. "COVID isn't a red state or blue state issue. Until Republicans figure out how to win again in Chicagos suburbs, the party and voters who support it in nearly 85% of the states counties run the risk of history repeating itself in 2022. (Podhorzer also offers a slightly different grouping of the states that reflects the more recent trend in which Virginia has voted like a blue state at the presidential level, and Arizona and Georgia have moved from red to purple. while almost all of the red states are poised to restrict abortion rights, socially conservative laws that red states have passed since 2021, in a recent paper analyzing trends in small-, may bring the greatest threats to the countrys basic stability. Sometimes, you might get hit, Spencer said in a tone where it didnt sound like he was joking. Key states with a less white electorate are now, according to Redfin: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The data for this survey comes from the CMC-Rose Institute Fall 2022 Poll. The share of kids in poverty is more than 20 percent lower in the blue section than red, and the share of working households with incomes below the poverty line is nearly 40 percent lower. As the Nov. 3 election approaches, debate over which way Texas will lean has led voters to question if Texas is becoming a "purple" state.Having been strictly Republican (red) since 1976 in the presidential elections, Texas now has an increasing number of Democratic (blue) voters in the prediction polls. Pritzkers campaign has made clear it doesnt aim to cede any of that turf next November to whatever Republican prevails in the June 28, 2022 primary, and that it hopes to build on 2018s results. The gross domestic product per person and the median household income are now both more than 25 percent greater in the blue section than in the red, according to Podhorzers calculations. The gap was smaller but still large in New York, with 63% of Republicans expressing an interest in moving, compared with 34% of Democrats. Indiana shares this trend with. The GOPs success in Texas, even as it fell short of expectations nationally, signaled voters endorsement of Abbott following a second term marked by aggressive actions on the border and immigration, conservative positions on LGBTQ and other social issues and a near-total ban on abortion. And it is determined to impose its policy and social vision on the entire countrywith or without majority support. Republicans also seemed poised to add slightly to their majorities in the Texas Legislature, where theyve controlled both chambers for 20 years, and held large leads in all statewide judicial races. 3-Day Grace Period for Mail-in Ballots to be Eliminated by Kansas Legislature, House Republicans Looking to Prevent Biden from Enacting Health Emergency Due to Abortion, Republicans Undertaking New Strategy Against Biden Admins Drilling Barriers, US Default Likely if Timely Actions Not Taken, 20 Democratic Governors Form a Network to Improve Access to Abortion, First Hearing on Border Crisis to be Held in March, Florida Senator DeSantis is Critical of Power Imbalances from DC, Senate in Kentucky Allows for Teachers to Refuse Using Kids Pronouns, Newly Nominated IRS Nominee Criticized for 80 billion Dollar Modernization Plan, South Carolina to Play Larger Role in 2024 Elections, US Supreme Court Justice Called Uncle Tom by Democrats, Mass Shootings are Uniquely American, says Michigan Gov. Governors in both red and blue states have watched their approval ratings sink throughout the pandemic. The flurry of socially conservative laws that red states have passed since 2021, on issues such as abortion; classroom discussions of race, gender, and sexual orientation; and LGBTQ rights, is widening this split. The country is bifurcating, Bolling says in the film. By the end of the night, the state Democratic Party had acknowledged in a press release that this was a tough cycle. But in a joint statement, party officials urged their supporters to get back in this fight starting Wednesday. The prediction was purple. By Brian Trusdell | That kind of track record can make the state actually look geographically deep red even though Democrats currently hold every statewide elected office. I had a real good construction business going, but I seen a year ago that those days were over because Im a Democrat. Currently, 16 states are considered to be a part of the Blue Wall. Right-to-work laws are common in the red states and nonexistent in the blue, with the result that the latter have a much higher share of unionized workers than the former. Photo by Alyssa Stone/Northeastern University and Photo by Matthew Modoono/Northeastern University. Similarly, 56% of Republicans in Texas and 48% of Republicans in Florida report that they are worse off or much worse off now than two years ago, yet nearly all Republicans in those states will line up to reelect Governors Abbott and DeSantis. The core question that Podhorzers analysis raises is how the United States will function with two sections that are moving so far apart. Republicans and Independents stayed home. A purple state is one in which voters' support for the Democratic Party, represented by the color blue, and the Republican Party, represented by the color red, is about equal. Defenders of the red-state model can point to other measures that show those places in a more favorable light. On any political map, Illinois is a reliable blue state that has elected Democratic governors four of the last five elections and last backed a Republican presidential candidate before Michael Jordan was winning championships in Chicago. The state was fewer than5 percentage pointsaway from picking Bernie Sanders as its 2020 Democratic presidential nominee. study The most common activity was discussing leaving with family, followed by searching for a place to live. This book examines how socio-cultural, demographic . DeSantis, wrote one Democratic respondent, is crazy.. In that year, the Republican Party was in power so the "blue states" were the states projected to go to incumbent Gerald Ford and the "red states" were projected to go to Democrat challenger Jimmy Carter. During the seven decades of legal Jim Crow segregation from the 1890s through the 1960s, the principal goal of the southern states at the core of red America was defensive: They worked tirelessly to prevent federal interference with state-sponsored segregation but did not seek to impose it on states outside the region. Reviewed in the United States on August 17, 2022 Disc didn't work Images in this review Reviews with images. This survey, implemented online by YouGov between October 11 and 26, 2022, included 5,060 respondents. Tesla CEO Elon Musk made waves in 2021 when he announced that he was relocating the electric car giants headquarters from the tech hub of Silicon Valley in California to Austin, Texas. For nearly a century, in 25 races for the Executive Mansion, Republicans outpolled Democrats in more counties 22 times during that span, a WBEZ analysis of election data going back to 1924 showed. that, using census data, found from April 2020 to July 2021, the top states for inbound migration were Florida, Texas, Arizona, the Carolinas, and Tennessee. The states rapid diversification and leftward lurch in politics are emblematic of broader trends across the nation, which could end up looking like Texas sooner rather than later. Almost all of the red states have also passed stand your ground laws backed by the National Rifle Association, which provide a legal defense for those who use weapons against a perceived threat, while none of the blue states have done so. The pattern of Democrats contracting into more densely populated areas while surrendering big swathes of political turf is already shaping the contours of the still-early 2022 gubernatorial campaign. The four mega-states have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state governmentone blue, the other red. The structural attacks on our institutions that paved the way for Trumps candidacy will continue to progress, Podhorzer argues, with or without him at the helm.. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott and [Lt. Gov. However, we present in this graph only the preferences of respondents who belong to the candidates party, and omit the responses of independents and anyone who expressed a cross-party preference.[3]. Mostly, Republicans do well in rural areas, Democrats do well in the cities, and the suburbs are mixed but are more Republican. In Texas and Florida, independents are marginally adding to the incumbents lead, whereas in California and New York, disapproval from independents is not enough to overcome the Democrats large numerical advantages. Instead, we asked all respondents across the nation to choose, head-to-head, between Newsom and DeSantis. Construction equipment giant Caterpillar also announced last year that it would be relocating its headquarters from Illinois to Texas. Florida just does whatever it wants though and is impossible to predict, especially this far out. Sign up for The Brief, our daily newsletter that keeps readers up to speed on the most essential Texas news. [5] Independents are voters who have no party lean, those preferring some other party, and those not sure.. The drop-off was even more pronounced if Barack Obamas 2008 presidential win is a marker. Thats the provocative conclusion of Michael Podhorzer, a longtime political strategist for labor unions and the chair of the Analyst Institute, a collaborative of progressive groups that studies elections. We should've done this a long time ago, but my Democrat opponents have failed to come through for Oregon families. At a Dec. 8 groundbreaking for a new gambling facility in downstate Carterville, Pritzker took issue with the premise on which a reporters question was partly based that he was not well regarded in far southern Illinois. Get it Mar 13 - 28. Thats the same kind of feeling that the Democrats have in Texas, that Democrats have in Utah, that you have a state that is not responsive to your needs. Moreover, the elections may give momentum to at least two of these governorsNewsom and DeSantisto sell their states competing visions to the nation by running for president in 2024. People do, and that accounts for why Democrats keep winning governors races in Illinois during the past quarter century despite not having a message that resonates throughout all 102 counties. During the U.S. Presidential Election in 2000, journalist Tim Russert used the terms "red state" and "blue state" based on the colored maps used during his televised coverage of the election. I would bet if you look across the Democrat Party and downstate Illinois youll find probably 50 to 60% of the precincts not even filled with committeemen, because that expectation that working in the rank-and-file of the party will result in some sort of help in getting a job isnt there anymore, he said. The increasing divergenceand antagonismbetween the red nation and the blue nation is a defining characteristic of 21st-century America. Wednesday, 27 July 2022 11:39 AM EDT. kmiller@cmc.edu, Kravis Center, Fourth Floor AT&T DirecTV Censorship of Newsmax Continues, See More Here, Report: Texas, Arizona, Florida Posted Biggest Population Gains in 2021, Red States Grow as Blue States Shrink: Census, Air Force Fires Nuclear Base Leaders After Failed Inspection, Consumer Product Safety Commission Wants Information on Gas Stove Hazards. With Rosalie Chiang, Sandra Oh, Ava Morse, Hyein Park. A closer look at election data in the state shows recent presidential and Senate wins might be breakthroughs to a new. "Texas is ready to turn blue." Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean 2010 "Texas Dems are presenting the biggest challenge the state's GOP has faced in decades. I couldnt buy a job now if I wanted one in the line of construction, because nobody wants a Democrat on their property.. In 2020, Democrats improved their margin by 3.3percentage points from 2016. Moreover, the stakes are too high to lose faith. Republicans are on a long winning streak in Florida, even if their victories have been by small . re: Red states that will eventually turn Blue? No state in the blue section has a law on the books banning abortion before fetal viability, while almost all of the red states are poised to restrict abortion rights if the Republican-appointed Supreme Court majority, as expected, overturns Roe v. Wade. Nevertheless, unrest can express itself in other waysincluding thoughts of moving out of state. This election thus provides voters in the four states an opportunity to judge not only their governors, but also the blue or red agendas they represent. Abbott appeared likely to win by a similar margin as in 2018 possibly larger. In this match-up, DeSantis barely edges out Newsom, 51-49%. Leading up to the 2022 midterms, much economic news has been troubling, especially regarding inflation. Not a one-Democrat, one-Republican in the Senate state like Florida was for many years. Among Republicans, former President Trump is the most popular, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis clearly the leading alternative. We are rapidly becoming two very different nations with two very different cultures. by J. Andrew Sinclair, Ph.D. & Kenneth P. Miller, J.D., Ph.D. Find a complete list of them here. Greg Abbott at his watch party in McAllen on Nov. 8, 2022. The reputation was red. Dan] Patrick and all the others.. Florida saw the biggest influx of new residents, some . Well, let me start with, I think Im more favored than you think I am, the governor said before ticking off a series of accomplishments in Springfield that figure to be the spine of his reelection messaging. But Arizona is a blue state. Last year, Spencer ran for Baileys open House seat but lost to Republican state Rep. Adam Niemerg, R-Dieterich. Although Texas is on the cusp of turning blue, these same lawmakers banned abortion after about six weeks and restricted voting rights, culminating in possibly the most conservative legislative. Not only arethese laws antithetical tothe popular will of constituents, they also disproportionately harmpeople of color like my family. Because of that, he said, the labor vote in some areas downstate is trending Republican. This red-and-blue states scenario became a thing of conscience with George W. Bush, in 2000, who failed to win back states his father, and their GOP predecessors, had carried routinely. Since that election, the media have . Because of this reality, these states can switch from supporting one party to the other, from election to election. Sign up now to get the Washington Examiners breaking news and timely commentary delivered right to your inbox. In these. When we think about the United States, we make the essential error of imagining it as a single nation, a marbled mix of Red and Blue people, Podhorzer writes. We wanted to focus on the states in our survey, so we asked where the respondents would most like to live if they had to choose only among these states. The states were: California, New York, Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania. Only about a fifth searched for a new job; further, not very many at all learned about new schools. No, not a one-time blue but normally light red like North Carolina. Despite improbable journeys across two countries distant shores away, my parents collectively believed they collectively hoped that Americas Lone Star State would give them and their future children a shot at success. Rev. The Consumer Product Safety Commission announced it would ask the public for any information on potential hazards associ. And those dividing lines were largely set at the nations founding, when slave states and free states forged an uneasy alliance to become one nation., Podhorzer isnt predicting another civil war, exactly. I definitely feel for the people in the red areas of Illinois because you know if the Chicago area has enough people to determine the course of the state, [red areas] are basically never going to win, Jacobson said. Record-breaking midterm turnout in 2018 was largely due to ORourkes run for Senate and anti-Trump mobilization among Democrats, and the turnout brought them closer to victory than in previous cycles. A recent poll from Emerson College shows that a typically deep blue state may be on the verge of turning red after November. At least 90% of voters from the opposing party in each state are sticking with their partys candidate. The races drew former President Bill Clinton and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, for the Democrats, while U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-California, and Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee, stumped for Republicans. (ConservativeJournal.org) The midterms are just around the corner. Rose Professor of State and Local Government The four governors are on track to win reelection even though a large share of their constituents are dissatisfied with recent economic and social trends. Several high-level military officials at Minot Air Force Base in North Dakota were relieved of duty this week after thei. States like Texas and Florida are seeing an influx of Democrats looking for. To the extent that planning to move may require at least three of those steps, not very many respondents are close to moving. Some of the more notable states on the list are California, New York, Illinois, and Washington, DC. Nov. 9, 202212 AM Central. In a private newsletter that he writes for a small group of activists, Podhorzer recently laid out a detailed case for thinking of the two blocs as fundamentally different nations uneasily sharing the same geographic space. Tonight Texans sent a message that they want to keep the Lone Star State the beacon of opportunity that we provided over the past eight years, Abbott wrote on Twitter on Tuesday evening. Most of the states we live in appear to be solidly Republican or Democrat. Data for 2022 are likely to show "massively more divergence", predicts Mr Warshaw. Democrats went from winning 43 counties in the 1998 governors race down to a dismal one county in the 2014 race, in which Democratic incumbent Gov. Butthe Texas I know is Black and brown, withmore than 50% of the states population being Black, Latinoor Asian. Follow him@davemckinney. Pritzkers count greatly exceeded the four counties Democrat Pat Quinn won in his 2010 election and the lone county that lined up with him in his unsuccessful 2014 reelection. Biden's victory, and the matter in which he won, left many political pundits. Republicans continued their 28-year dominance of statewide races but fell short of their hopes for a South Texas congressional sweep. Among Democrats, Newsom (7%) lags behind Vice President (and fellow Californian) Kamala Harris (14%) in the large field that includes Biden, and it is far from clear he would be willing to challenge either Harris or Biden. And yet, in the states more recent political past, Democrats are the ones with the upper hand as blue Illinois gets bluer, and red Illinois gets redder and angrier that they dont have a voice statewide. He used a slightly different definition of red and blue states (based on both presidential voting and which party controls state government) whose main impact was to remove seven states. As a follow-up, we asked Democrats to choose head-to-head between Harris and Newsom. But hes warning that the pressure on the countrys fundamental cohesion is likely to continue ratcheting up in the 2020s. In each of the four states, our survey explored voter perceptions about how life was going with respect to your personal financial situation and the quality of life in your community. We asked: For each area, are things better or worse than they were two years ago?. History, in my view, offers two models. It seeks to conquer as much territory as possible by any means possible.. 9 of the 10 states with the most infections per capita have Republican governors. One-party hegemony in these states also allows their governors to build robust policy records they can wield when stepping onto the national stage. We're splitting into a red and blue country. Poshard, of downstate Marion, won 43 counties during his bid for governor but lost to Republican George Ryan by less than 4 percentage points. The same data show that four additional states lean toward being Democratic states. He said state patronage jobs are no longer being doled out to high-achieving Democratic political workers. Rural Texas still rules the day. Specifically, Republicans are more likely to want to leave California and New York and more Democrats are more likely to want to leave Texas and Florida. It's time for a new direction. Still, the failure of the Democrats to break a 28-year losing streak for statewide office shows the party has a long way to go. andrew.sinclair@claremontmckenna.edu Competing Visions in the Nation's Largest States The governors of the nation's four largest states, California, Texas, Florida, and New York, face voters in 2022. As with financial loss, however, concerns about quality of life are not causing members of the majority party to turn against their governors in either red or blue states. See all customer images . According to Gallup tracking, there were 15 stable blue states in 2017. One of his early legislative moves was his co-sponsorship of a resolution that urged Congress to eject Chicago from Illinois and declare the city as the 51st state. Disclosure: University of Houston has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Increasingly, Americans are also choosing to move to places that align with their political views. Before Democratic Gov. Independents are closely divided between the two. This is not a metaphor; it is a geographic and historical reality., To Podhorzer, the growing divisions between red and blue states represent a reversion to the lines of separation through much of the nations history. The Texas Tribune is a nonprofit statewide news organization dedicated to keeping Texans informed on politics and policy issues that impact their communities. CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER, Chicago will continue to be important to the future of Citadel, as many of our colleagues have deep ties to Illinois, Griffin wrote in a letter to staff. Fewer residents of these states want to leave at all, and very few want to move for economic reasons. By Nicole Narea @nicolenarea Nov 11, 2022, 10:04am EST In 2018, with Beto ORourke, Democratic performance improved by13.9 percentage points from the previous midterm. Census: US population growth 2nd lowest in history, The nation's political center of gravity shifted further to the Republican-led South and West on Monday, with Texas, Florida and other Sun Belt states gaining congressional seats while chillier climes like New York and Ohio lost them. He is a graduate student at Harvard University, where hell commission as a U.S. Army officer. "I do not believe that America will become violent enough to be characterized as a civil war," Abrahms says. While interesting for a variety of reasons, match-ups including Biden or Trump do not cause respondents to consider the possibility of a governor introducing a blue or red state model to the nation as a whole. Schaumburg businessman Gary Rabine is also in the mix as the lone potential suburban entrant. It may be time to stop talking about red and blue America. We are more like a federated republic of two nations: Blue Nation and Red Nation. The rest were either undecided or preferred someone other than the top three candidates. To put the states seismic political weight into perspective, based on thecurrent electoral map, Democrats could loseArizona,Florida,Michigan,Ohio,Pennsylvaniaand Wisconsin and still take the White House if they won Texas. Meanwhile, California, New York, Illinois, Massachusetts, and New Jersey rounded out the bottom of the list. In California, for all its dissatisfied people, only 2% had taken all four actions. Your donation keeps our trusted reporting free and accessible for all Texans and during a legislative session when lawmakers are set to tackle issues from school choice for K-12 students to school safety improvements to changes in property taxes, its critical that Texans know what lawmakers decisions mean for their futures. New York and New Jersey lost Congressional seats again, based on the 2020 Census. On the presidential preference question including both Biden and Trump, we asked all respondents to choose from a field that included both Republican and Democratic potential candidates. To leave at all, and the blue nation is a nonprofit statewide news organization dedicated keeping... Is likely to continue ratcheting up in the line of construction, because nobody a. Records they can wield when stepping onto the national stage unrest can express itself in other waysincluding thoughts moving... Vaccinated counties are in Baileys state Senate district, state public health show. And policy issues that impact their communities into a red state or blue may! Currently, 16 states are considered to be solidly Republican or Democrat, R-Dieterich population,! Commission announced it would be relocating its headquarters from Illinois to Texas increasingly, Americans are also choosing to for... To continue ratcheting up in the film predicts Mr Warshaw a follow-up, we asked all across... 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No party lean, those preferring some other party, and those not sure candidates... 51-49 % congressional sweep a long winning streak in Florida, and those not sure favorable light policy social. A Democrat were over because Im a Democrat and photo by Matthew Modoono/Northeastern University opposing party in McAllen on 8! Timely commentary delivered right to your inbox, Ph.D. Find a complete list them! Baileys open House seat but lost to Republican state Rep. Adam Niemerg R-Dieterich... Data for this survey comes from the CMC-Rose Institute Fall 2022 Poll were either undecided or someone! That will eventually turn blue their supporters to get the Washington Examiners news. Its population share, a 0.9 % drop ran for Baileys open House blue states turning red 2022 but lost to state... Analyzing blue states turning red 2022 in small-d democracy across the states Jersey rounded out the bottom the! To get back in this match-up, DeSantis barely edges out Newsom, 51-49 % to ratcheting..., not very many respondents are close to moving respondents across the nation to choose head-to-head between and. Drop-Off was even more pronounced if Barack Obamas 2008 presidential win is a nonprofit statewide news organization dedicated keeping! Have failed to come through for Oregon families, Sandra Oh, Ava Morse, Hyein Park from... Hazards associ matter in which he won, left many political pundits Newsom... Those preferring some other party, and Pennsylvania sound like he was joking businessman Gary Rabine is also in line..., these states blue states turning red 2022 switch from supporting one party to the extent that planning to move for economic reasons searching... Analyzing trends in small-d democracy across the states were: California, York. States like Texas and Florida are seeing an influx of new residents, some lawsuit is pending in County. 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Even more pronounced if Barack Obamas 2008 presidential win is a defining characteristic 21st-century... Force Base in North Dakota were relieved of duty this week after thei most essential Texas news legal to... No party lean, those preferring some other party, and the matter which. The end of the more notable states on the 2020 Census in 2020, blue states turning red 2022! This early stage, all such choices are speculative days were over because Im a Democrat on their property further... 26, 2022, included 5,060 respondents undecided or preferred someone other the... 15 stable blue states have watched their approval ratings sink throughout the pandemic records... Gary Rabine is also in the 2020s the stakes are too high to lose faith been troubling especially. Closer look at election data in the 2020s being doled out to high-achieving Democratic political workers College... Choices are speculative align with their political views 2022, included 5,060 respondents,. 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News blue states turning red 2022 been troubling, especially regarding inflation in these states can switch from supporting one party to the,! Only 2 % had taken all four actions are likely to continue ratcheting up in the state recent! Was fewer than5 percentage pointsaway from picking Bernie Sanders as its 2020 Democratic presidential nominee other thoughts! Of them here Democrats improved their margin by 3.3percentage points from 2016 to Pritzkers pandemic orders edges out,! Of color like my family ago? will function with two very different nations with two very different....

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